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Ten-year Japanese government bonds yield climbed to a three-week high on Friday as investors took profits ahead of a bond sale next week, while bonds with longer maturities had been firm as investors shifted funds from medium-term notes.
Though superlong bonds had been hurt by worries about Japan’s increased fiscal burden following the earthquake, investors might have been relieved by comments from policy-makers that they will not take measures that would erode market confidence.
Market participants doubted the government would seek to pass a bill to allow the Bank of Japan to underwrite bonds, as reported by the Nikkei business daily, as Economics Minister Kaoru Yosano and Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda both produced denials on Friday. [ID:nL3E7F105M]
“At this stage ministers are against the thought, along with the market thinks the possibility is quite low,” stated Takafumi Yamawaki, chief rate strategist at JPMorgan.
Market participants were also cautious more than U.S. jobs data on Friday that some are betting it’s going to show much increased job growth for March than economists’ consensus estimates of 190,000.[ID:nN31275912]
“Trading volume improved somewhat from earlier this week as a new fiscal year began nowadays, but the market was still quiet. In such an environment futures have a tendency to take their cue from U.S. Treasuries,” a fund manager in Japanese asset management stated.
“Investors had been cautious that JGB yields might be pushed up along with these of treasuries following a release of U.S. data that suggests job growth.”
June 10-year futures <2JGBv1> were down 0.36 point at 139.19 after earlier dropping to 139.15, the lowest in three weeks.
The 10-year yield climbed 3.0 basis points to 1.280 percent, the highest in 3 weeks. The five-year yield rose 1.five basis points to 0.505 percent.
Market players stated the 10-year bond yield faced upward pressure as the maturity saw some selling as participants such as Japanese banks made room on their books ahead of a 10-year auction on Tuesday.
The market remained focused on the size of the Japanese government’s emergency budgets and possible bond issuance for disaster relief, and developments at the quake-stricken nuclear plant in Fukushima, northeast of Tokyo.
But superlongs — bonds with maturities more than ten years — bucked the trend in other maturities as investors were seen taking profits in medium-dated bonds and shifting money to superlongs. The 30-year yield edged down 0.5 basis point at 2.170 percent. The 10-year/30-year yield spread tightened to 89.0 basis points, the lowest since March 10, the day prior to the earthquake struck.
There was a limited reaction in JGB markets to the Bank of Japan’s closely watched tankan survey on Friday. Japanese manufacturers’ business sentiment improved slightly inside the 3 months to March, but analysts anticipate a downturn in confidence this quarter following last month’s devastating earthquake and tsunami and subsequent nuclear crisis.

China’s central bank may well have to raise each interest rates and reserve requirements in April to combat a probable jump in consumer inflation to a nearly three-year high, a government researcher stated in remarks published on Friday.
The comments by Fan Jianjun, a researcher with the Development Research Centre, a feel tank under the State Council, followed reports in official Chinese media this week that April would be a “sensitive window” for more tightening moves due to a probably pick-up in inflation. [ID:nL3E7ET00L]
Fan was even a lot more specific in his forecast, saying that the central bank would probably raise interest rates on April ten, according towards the Caijing magazine.
But he seemed unaware of the timing for the government’s economic data release. He homed in on April 10 due to the fact he stated it was 1 day just before the publication of first-quarter economic data. Actually, the National Bureau of Statistics is because of release those figures on April 15.
Separately, Xu Lianzhong, a director at the price monitoring centre of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated China’s consumer price index probably edged up around 5 percent inside the year to March, and inflation for the very first half is expected to range between four.eight and five percent.
Xu added that inflationary pressure would commence to recede within the second quarter.
“I believe prices will stay high in the short term, but inflationary pressure will not rise noticeably and prices will start off to grow at a slower pace within the second half,” Xu stated in an article published in the official China Securities Journal.
But Du Ying, a deputy head of the NDRC, expressed more concern about the outlook for China’s inflation, citing imported price pressure, excessive liquidity and food supply strains.
“Prices of agricultural products are facing massive upward pressure and we should not be optimistic about the full-year price situation,” Du Ying said in an article published inside the latest issue of Searching for Truth, the ruling Communist Party’s Chinese-language magazine.
“The central bank is facing considerably difficulty in tightening monetary policies this year, as new loans will remain high even when credit growth slows down,” he stated.
Imported inflation will likely be additional passed on towards the domestic economy, Du stated. Chinese soybean oil and cotton prices were likely to climb within the coming months if global expenses remained high, he stated.

EUR/USD remains inside a tight range in lackluster trading via the Asian session morning. Euro is establishing a base around 1.4150 following rising within the US trading session. Traders await the release of US non-farm payrolls inside the morning. The pair is now trading 1.4160 with resistance at 1.4210 and resistance down at 1.4080.

USD/JPY has continued to climb within the Asian session soon after posting gains earlier within the US session on the last trading day of the initial quarter. The pair is approaching the February 16 high of 83.97 where it’s broadly expected to meet some significant resistance. A pullback towards the 83.30 is feasible initially at reaching this place. Presently trading at 83.60 area inside a range of 83.11 – 83.73. Assistance lies at 82.80.

Spain’s manufacturing sector grew in March driven by exports, but at a slower rate than in February as the sector was plagued by record high output price inflation and falling employment, a survey showed on Friday.
Markit’s purchasing managers’ index for manufacturing fell to 51.6 in March from 52.1 in February, the sixth straight month the index has held above the 50 mark separating growth from contraction after shrinking in September.
The main index was lifted by rising output and new orders, with those polled noting new export business rising much more sharply than overall new orders.
“The latest PMI survey indicated a continuing divergence between demand in domestic and foreign markets, with the latter proving the main source of new order growth,” mentioned Andrew Harker, an economist at Markit.
Spain’s domestic demand has collapsed considering that the housing bubble burst in 2008, though a return to recession since the initial quarter of last year has been avoided on powerful external demand.
“The 1st quarter as a whole saw steady progress on the road to recovery in the manufacturing sector, albeit with little sign of a strengthening of domestic demand,” Harker said.
The government expects the economy to grow 1.3 percent in 2011 as confidence returns to the high street, but the Bank of Spain warned on Wednesday that it expected consumer spending to remain subdued by means of 2011.
The Bank of Spain expects the economy to grow 0.8 percent in 2011 and 1.five percent next year.
Meanwhile, prices for producers remained high.
“A record rise in output prices was recorded, although the rate of charge inflation remains significantly weaker than that seen for input costs as firms struggle to fully pass on price rises to clients,” Harker stated.
The PMI’s output prices index rose to 60.three in March from 55.four a month earlier with those polled by Markit saying the main result in of the latest rise in charges was producers passing increased raw material charges on to customers.
Input costs in March remained in line with February’s record high, Markit mentioned.
The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates next week over concerns of high euro zone inflation as soaring oil prices push up consumer prices.
The rate of layoffs slowed from prior months as greater production requirements kept folks in operate. The employment index has registered growth just once, in October, because August 2007.

The Bank of Japan’s new board member Sayuri Shirai said on Friday that if the BOJ were to underwrite government bonds it would hurt confidence in the yen and eventually raise the government’s borrowing costs.
“The BOJ’s underwriting of government bonds might cause a loss of confidence inside the currency and this might have an effect on long-term rates and significantly raise government borrowing expenses,” Shirai, a former IMF economist, mentioned at her initial news conference as a board member.
Shirai, who was previously a professor of economics and policy at Tokyo’s Keio University, began function on Friday as the central bank board’s only female member, taking a seat vacated by Miyako Suda, whose term expired on Thursday.
She is expected to vote at the BOJ’s next policy-setting meeting on April 6-7.
Little is known about Shirai’s views on monetary policy but analysts say she is unlikely to trigger a stir at least inside the near term. They expect her expertise on European debt troubles as well as China’s yuan and currencies to help deepen the central bank’s debates on issues like global imbalances.[ID:nTOE72706M]
The BOJ faces mounting calls to print money to finance the expenses of disaster relief and reconstruction right after final month’s devastating earthquake, and politics, not markets, could be the next trigger for the central to ease monetary policy further.

Not unexpectedly in view of the difficulties brought on by the recent earthquake of 6.3-magnitude, which resulted in many deaths and ruined buildings, the NZD has taken a hit across the world Forex markets against all other 16most-traded currencies. Coupled with the earthquake troubles, and also the turmoil in North Africa and the Middle East, traders are searching to fly from risk trades.
The Euro is the currency that seems to be affected probably the most at present with the Pound Sterling gaining against the Euro however it gained against the US Dollar following ECB council member Mersch?¡¥s hawkish comments concerning upside risks to price stability and inflation concerns. NZD/USD dropped from 0.7635 to 0.7491 as of 16:28 GMT 22nd February right after it reached earlier the intraday low of 0.7454.